Tag Archives: Monte Carlo Simulation

2021 BioSecurity Simulation #MonkeyPox

First-ever Global Monkeypox Outbreak happens in exact week “Predicted” in Biosecurity Simulation a year before

Elite media outlets around the world are on red alert over the world’s first-ever global outbreak of Monkeypox in mid-May 2022 – just one year after an international biosecurity conference in Munich held a simulation of a “global pandemic involving an unusual strain of monkeypox” beginning in mid-May 2022. The Exposé reports the facts the…

https://expose-news.com/2022/05/22/monkeypox-happens-in-exact-week-as-simulation/

The first 4 articles I check and Every single one is an old Photo!
I guess Mønkeypöx can time travel! WHO knew!

Maybe they should call this CLONINGpox as it seems to exactly mimic old pictures…

My particular favorite is NBCs from 2010… that’s their version of a “deep dive”

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Those who think vaccine passports are good or at least ok, I’m addressing you.

If you were a vulnerable person & have been vaccinated, you’re protected. You don’t need to know others immune status. Note, even if they’ve been vaccinated, that doesn’t guarantee they can’t carry a single virus particle & donate it to you. So it doesn’t help you or make your safer to know everyone else has been vaccinated.

If you’ve declined vaccination for example because you’re not at risk from this virus, noting younger people are at MORE risk from influenza than from Covid19, you also don’t need to know anyone else’s immune status.

Vaccination protects those who need it. Vaccine passports protect nobody.

But vaxpass is useful to our overlords. It’ll be the worlds first, common format database, operable anywhere from Bolton to Bogata, containing your unique digital ID & an editable health status flag (initially about vaccination status).

Who controls that database & any algorithm governing what it permits & denies has absolutely totalitarian control over every aspect of your life.

Imagine a future in which a valid Vaxpass is required to enter a sport ground or museum. Invalid Vaxpass, no entry.

Now imagine the rules are hardened up (they will be). Now you can’t enter large shopping malls or hotels without a valid pass.

Further? Sure, why not. The algorithm is tweaked & now you cannot enter large supermarkets or any public transport.

A tyrannical step might be a Visa / MasterCard tweak that requires a valid Vaxpass BEFORE a terminal will open up for a purchase transaction.

Now you can’t even buy a bottle of water. Or fuel. Or anything.

Ping! Your Vaxpass orders you to report for your top up vaccine. If you don’t, your pass expires. Do you think you’ve got a choice?

Ping! You’re reminded to bring your grandson in, too, as his mother hasn’t. If you don’t, your pass becomes invalid, as does the babies mothers pass. Still think you’ve got a choice?

The fact that I can easily come up with examples must tell you at least that the potential for utterly totalitarian control of the entire population forever lies like a worm at the centre of this beyond-Orwellian future.

It’s not speculative. We’re told this system is about to happen. You’ll be coerced to be vaccinated or you’ll rapidly be marginalised.

Once you’re vaccinated, the limited freedoms they allow you can be withdrawn at any moment.

Don’t kid yourselves that “no one would be this evil”. I refer you to numerous examples during the last century. There are plenty of evil people & the only difference here is SCALE & the irreversible nature of it.

Now you’ve seem what is so easy to do to take complete control of a whole society, you MUST object & find ways to prevent a vaccine passport system from coming into being. By any and all means necessary.

Finally, to those who say this is all a series of unfortunate & incompetent errors, please watch this documentary. Long before you get to the end, you’ll realise, as I did with mounting horror, that this is absolutely not incompetence. It’s rehearsed & exercises like this have been war gamed for years if not decades. It’ll perhaps change your thoughts as to the origins of this mess & crimes.

But please, one thing: do not say you weren’t warned.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=d3WUv5SV5Hg

Dr Mike Yeadon

Source: World Doctors Alliance

Copyright Disclaimer Under Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for “fair use” for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research. Fair use is a use permitted by copyright statute that might otherwise be infringing. Non-profit, educational or personal use tips the balance in favor of fair use.

The militarization of America’s cities

What does President Trump’s Firing of Defense Secretary Mark Esper Mean?

by Brian Shilhavy
Editor, Health Impact News

Today President Trump announced that he had fired Defense Secretary Mark Esper, replacing him with Christopher C. Miller, the Director of the National Counterterrorism Center.

So why is Trump making this move now, and what does it mean?

Trump has not gotten along well with Mark Esper in the past, so this was not totally unexpected. He also did not see eye to eye with his first Defense Secretary, General Jim Mattis.

Back in June, the Federal News Network reported:

President Donald Trump’s Pentagon chief shot down his idea of using active-duty troops to quell protests across the United States, and former military leaders are going after him, too, in an extraordinary clash between the U.S. military and its commander in chief.

Both Trump and Defense Secretary Mark Esper are both drawing stinging, rare public criticism from Trump’s first defense secretary, Jim Mattis, in the most public pushback of Trump’s presidency from the men he put at the helm of the world’s most powerful military.

Mattis’ rebuke on Wednesday followed Trump’s threats to use the military to “dominate” the streets where Americans are demonstrating following the death of George Floyd, a black man who died when a white police officer pressed his knee into his neck for several minutes. The president had urged governors to call out the National Guard to contain protests that turned violent and warned that he could send in active-duty military forces if they did not.

Esper angered Trump when he said he opposed using military troops for law enforcement, seemingly taking the teeth out of the president’s threat to use the Insurrection Act. Esper said the 1807 law should be invoked in the United States “only in the most urgent and dire of situations.” He added, “We are not in one of those situations now.”

Former Secretary Mattis, a retired Marine general, lambasted both Trump and Esper in an essay in The Atlantic for their consideration of using the active-duty military in law enforcement — and for the use of the National Guard in clearing out a largely peaceful protest near the White House on Monday evening.

“We must reject any thinking of our cities as a ‘battlespace’ that our uniformed military is called upon to ‘dominate,’” Mattis wrote, referencing quotes by Esper and Trump respectively. “Militarizing our response, as we witnessed in Washington, D.C., sets up a conflict — a false conflict — between the military and civilian society. ” (Source.)

Trump supporters, including many in the Alternative Media, see the firing of Esper as a positive move, apparently wanting to see our cities turn into a military zone, just as long as their guy “wins” the White House.

Among those on the “Right,” it would appear the thinking is that there was massive voter fraud, and that ultimately the Supreme Court is going to hear cases on this fraud and ultimately hand the Presidency back to Trump, and then Trump will put down any opposition using the military and the “Insurrection Act.”

And while there certainly appears to be massive fraud in these elections, do we really want our cities militarized, with martial law potentially put in place? Once the military takes over our cities, does anyone honestly expect that they will eventually return to their bases and everything will go back to “normal”?

I don’t think the Trump supporters are asking the right questions right now. And this is probably because they start from a basic presupposition that is quite different from mine.

Trump supporters, even after observing Trump for almost 4 years now, still seem to think that Trump runs the country.

Those of us who choose not to play these political games, choosing one side over the other, start out with a vastly different presupposition.

And that presupposition is that Trump does NOT run the country, but basically does what he is told to do, and that the political theater that is displayed on Prime Time TV each day is no different than any other script written for mass media consumption, whether it be the corporate news actors and their “shows” on TV, or the entertainment industry based out of Hollywood that also writes their scripts to be followed by professional actors.

This is what America has become accustomed to. Everything is basically one big media show, with a select few at the top writing the scripts for everyone to follow, including Donald Trump, who himself came out of the entertainment industry, and knows how to play this game very well.

Please see my recent article about how basically 6 companies control all of the media in the U.S.:

Brainwashing the Masses: 6 Companies Own Almost ALL of the Media in the U.S. – Using Medical “Doctors” to Sell Their Message

Also watch “Out of Shadows” if you have not done so yet.

And if you think I am wrong, and that President Trump does in fact run the country, then this is the question you need to answer:

Why is it that Trump does not get along with so many people in his cabinet, whom he allegedly chose?

Why didn’t he get along with General Jim Mattis, his first Defense Secretary, or Mark Esper, the one he just fired? If he doesn’t like their ideology, why did he hire them in the first place?

And this question can be asked about MANY people Trump has allegedly chosen to be on “his team,” such as Anthony Fauci, whom he has publicly stated several times in the past that he “gets along with great,” and is “a great guy,” up until just a few weeks before the election when he finally started saying some negative things about him, just after he replaced his position in the White House Coronavirus Task Force with Dr. Scott Atlas.

The only answer that seems to fit this scenario, is that Trump is not really in charge much at all, that his cabinet and “team” are mostly chosen for him, and that he is told what he can and cannot do by the Shadow Government that really runs this country.

One person in his cabinet, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, is the former head of the CIA.

Did Trump choose him, or was he chosen by the Globalists?

Here is a video recording of Pompeo in 2019 describing his time as director of the CIA:

 

Here is a video clip of an address Pompeo gave back in March at a White House Task Force Press conference, just as the Plandemic was in its early stages, where Pompeo admits that the “pandemic” is a “live exercise,” while you can hear President Trump in the background say that they “should have let us know.”

 

If I am mostly correct, and Trump is NOT the one calling the shots for the most part, then even the termination of Secretary Esper should be viewed from the perspective of the Globalists, and whoever is writing this script, and we have to wonder just what they hope to accomplish with replacing him with Christopher C. Miller?

The militarization of America’s cities seems to be destined to happen, no matter who is in office as President, and the entire American public is being distracted now with the aftermath of the elections, while the Globalists continue on their path of implementing their New World Order, and the “Great Reset,” all in the name of “COVID.”

They will march forward with this plan, no matter whom is in office.

They don’t really care who is in office (I am sure they have multiple scenarios/scripts in place to accommodate whomever the puppet will be), and neither should the American public.

We should be focusing our attention on how to stop the Globalists and their medical tyranny, otherwise, I am afraid a lot of people are about to die in this country.

 

 

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People involved in the simulation were also involved in the actual management of the pandemic once it went live

Selected moments from the Event 201 pandemic tabletop exercise hosted by The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The exercise illustrated the pandemic preparedness efforts needed to diminish the large-scale economic and societal consequences of a severe pandemic. Drawing from actual events, Event 201 identifies important policy issues and preparedness challenges that could be solved with sufficient political will and attention. These issues were designed in a narrative to engage and educate the participants and the audience.

 

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Monte Carlo Simulation? Why?

So why would you use Monte Carlo instead of Decision Tree?

Monte Carlo or Risk Modeling is a simulation using random numbers (computes generate millions of samples quickly).

It’s powerful, simple and realistic.

Cons: It’s hard to incorporate into the overall project, and the probabilities put in may be biased.

In the other hand, Decision Tree analysis is a diagram with options and their probabilities. You would probably want to use Decision Tree over Monte Carlo Simulation when you need to evaluate several options prior to selecting one of them or guide project choices based on costs.

The name Monte Carlo simulation comes from the computer simulations performed during the 1930s and 1940s to estimate the probability that the chain reaction needed for an atom bomb to detonate would work successfully. The physicists involved in this work were big fans of gambling, so they gave the simulations the code name Monte Carlo.

Let us examine this scenario.

Your manager has asked you to use your new knowledge of management science techniques (aka project management) to perform an analysis showing which alternative would be best for the company. She tells you one of the following you may assume during your analysis:

* There are many significant uncertainties and contingencies

* The decision involves a portfolio of projects

* Outcome probability distributions are desired

Since there are many significant uncertainties and contingencies, Monte Carlo simulation is usually preferred over decision tree analysis. But what if you don’t have any sophisticated tools but instead Microsoft Excel?

Well, we have a solution for that.

Let’s assume that a project has five (5) activities. Each activity has a total cost in a specified range. In some cases the value is fixed (activity C), but generally it can assume any value within an interval.

One more important assumption that we can make is that each of these variables is independent of the others. The cost is not influence by the cost of any other activity.

activities

The total cost of a project is a random variable with a value between the minimum and the maximum.

montecarlo
Monte Carlo Simulation

Step 1: Generate random values for each activity cost

Step 2: Add each sequence of random values

Step 3: The expected project cost is the average of these values

montecarlo_formula
Monte Carlo Simulation Iteration 1 example

The random cost activity for A will look like this:

=RAND()*(25,000-20,000)+20,000

This formula will generate a value from 20,000 to 25,000.

If we add this formula to each activity and sum them all, we will obtain the total project cost.

Remember that the RAND () function always automatically recalculates the numbers it generates when a worksheet is opened or when new information is entered into the worksheet or when you press F9 key to recalculate the random numbers.

Conclusion:

Monte Carlo simulation is perhaps the most popular of the various management science techniques. The simple, elegant method provides a means to solve equations with probability distributions. (Schuyler, 2001, p. 81).

For more complex decisions use of Monte Carlo Simulation is desired. So be prepared — you may need to put your thinking cap on.

Reference: Microsoft Excel Monte Carlo Simulation samples.
Schuyler, 2001 Project Risks

Your comments and questions are valued and encouraged.
Anayansi Gamboa has an extensive background in clinical data management as well as experience with different EDC systems including Oracle InForm, InForm Architect, Central Designer, CIS, Clintrial, Medidata Rave, Central Coding, OpenClinica, Open Source and Oracle Clinical.

anayansi gamboa